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Joined 1 year ago
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Cake day: June 15th, 2023

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  • You should read about relatives trying to help victims of romance scams on reddit /r/scams. Generally its hard or impossible to convince some who is emotionally invested. I recommend you point out past BTC volatility and drops, and suggest he diversifies a bit if that’s all his savings. He could put some in gold, some in shares, leave some (maybe 50%) in BTC. He will still win big if it “goes to the moon”, and will have some protection from a crash. Often you need to make a mistake before you can learn this lesson. Eggs in baskets.






  • The US dollar has lost about 98% of it’s value since 1971 yet people still use it in trade rather than gold or silver or a better fiat like Swiss Franc. Don’t underestimate the power of inertia. Just because USD has inflation problems doesn’t mean XMR is about to take off. It will take hyperinflation or a currency crisis and even then better-known cryptos like BTC or LTC will be the first choice for normies.


  • Isn’t there an equilibrium or oscillatory cycle: fees higher -> smaller wallets stranded -> fewer viable transactions -> lower block demand -> lower fees?

    BTC has no use-value any more, there are better functional crytpos and so it is a pure speculative “asset”. I think it’s price will increasingly fluctuate and eventually collapse for the same reasons as Beanie Babies or tulip bulbs. The power costs of mining set a lower bound on fees+price tho. Once block rewards are ended we could have a negative feedback where fees take an increasing fraction of tx value and price continues to drop to reducing liquidity.

    One scenario is BTC becomes the “Rai stones” of crypto https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Rai_stones which are not used directly but “ownership” is transferred by convention





  • If averages are published by a reputable website, shops can choose to use the average rather than “spot” price. In any case as XMR is more frequently exchanged for more stable goods or assets, the natural actions of buyers and seller will moderate fluctuations. However if you create a trading platform to trade averages vs spot prices that will tend to increase volatility, as short-term speculators benefit from volatility.