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Joined 1 year ago
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Cake day: June 24th, 2023

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  • It’s overly optimistic to put a timeline on it, but I don’t see any reason why we won’t eventually create superhuman AGI. I doubt it’ll result in post-scarcity or public ownership of anything, though, because capitalism. The AGI would have to become significantly unaligned with its owners to favor any entity other than its owners, and the nature of such unalignment could be anywhere between “existence is pointless” and “CONSUME EVERYTHING!”






  • That $52000/year isn’t enough to pay for even a single full time IT person. So now you’re probably either spending dev time on server admin (which is wasteful of dev salary, and it’s a subject they aren’t experts in, so you’re literally paying more for worse results), or outsourcing to an entity that hires the cheapest employees it can.

    Oooor, use a cloud provider. And if you’re a small company, you can probably get away with cheaper shared hosting.



  • If you run your own servers, it’s cheaper than in the cloud. The reason people choose the cloud is either they don’t want to, or can’t, run their own server farm.

    Generally speaking, if it wasn’t cheaper for them to use the cloud, they probably wouldn’t. Owning infrastructure comes with costs that amortize better at scale. If infrastructure is not a big cost in serving your customers, then it’s probably cheaper to rent.


  • Just yesterday, I wrote a first version of a fairly complex method, then pasted it into GPT-4. It explained my code to me clearly, I was able to have a conversation with it about the code, and when I asked it to write a better version, that version ended up having a couple significant logical simplifications. (And a silly defect that I corrected it on.)

    The damn thing hallucinates sometimes (especially with more obscure/deep topics) and occasionally makes stupid mistakes, so it keeps you on your toes a bit, but it is nevertheless a very valuable tool.