Things will yet change, and they’ll change for the worse. All of the media prefer a close race. There will be October surprises and even if they’re complete BS, the few swing voters that will finally start tuning in, will once again conclude that both parties are the same. Anyway, what I am trying to say is, don’t believe the polls. Vote
When the numbers cut so thin, it’s not good to hang your hat on the MOE, which is usually ~3.5%. Rather, be aware that Trump chronically under polls. Guess people don’t want to admit they are going to vote for him. Basically, Harris is in good shape in popular and electoral vote.
Is that in state polls or national polls? National polls mean dick all when it comes to the electoral college. Republicans have won the popular vote once i think since the start of the 2000s. Hell maybe even back to when Bush Sr was elected. The president is going to be decided by like 100k people across 7 or so states. 100k may be generous though.
Harris is 2 - 4 points ahead.
Still within the margin of error tho.
ABC has her at 6 points. That’s well outside MOE.
Things will yet change, and they’ll change for the worse. All of the media prefer a close race. There will be October surprises and even if they’re complete BS, the few swing voters that will finally start tuning in, will once again conclude that both parties are the same. Anyway, what I am trying to say is, don’t believe the polls. Vote
IDK, there’s not that much time left. Trump would have to have a great debate next week.
I wasn’t aware she had gotten above the MoE, last I knew everyone had her chances squarely in there. Thanks for the info.
When the numbers cut so thin, it’s not good to hang your hat on the MOE, which is usually ~3.5%. Rather, be aware that Trump chronically under polls. Guess people don’t want to admit they are going to vote for him. Basically, Harris is in good shape in popular and electoral vote.
Wasn’t that mainly an issue in 2016 and less so since then?
Still under polled in the Biden race by 2.5 points.
Is that in state polls or national polls? National polls mean dick all when it comes to the electoral college. Republicans have won the popular vote once i think since the start of the 2000s. Hell maybe even back to when Bush Sr was elected. The president is going to be decided by like 100k people across 7 or so states. 100k may be generous though.
That reference is a US poll.
W got 48% of the popular vote in 2008. That’s the highest a Republican has gotten.