There have not been any official Leopard1 deliveries for months now. We know for a fact, that there are a large number of Ukrainians officially being trained in Germany on them for what looks to be way too long and we also now that there are significantly more actually fully repaired and refurbished Leopard1s in Germany factories. There was no official delivery of Leopard1 for over four months now.

Chances are that the list is incomplete. It is meant to show a lot of weapons are being send to Ukraine and is a good tool to miss lead Russia.

Until they realize that only 1743 boys are born in Russia every day. Good luck fighting the next war, after killing all the fathers and let the rest flee abroad.

The link I gave you is an offical government link from the UK government showing a joined declaration of Germany and the UK calling for a ‘sustainable ceasefire’. Germany has furthermore signed a common EU declaration calling for “an immediate humanitarian pause that could lead to a sustainable ceasefire”

The difference is the wording “sustainable” and not “immediate”.

So please actually READ the links I post and not just call me wrong. It really helps…

Germany has been calling for a ceasefire since December.

Germany has been calling on Israel to only target Hamaz since the start of the invasion. However destroying Hamaz requires the use of weapons and civilan casulties were somewhat expected. However Germany has been calling for a ceasefire for months now and has been clear that it does not approve of Israel invading Rafah. The food situation is getting to the point, that is makes 30k civilan deaths look like a joke. Hence Germany is dropping in food and other aid, while working on setting up naval supply of the Gaza Strip. That is after increasing aid for the Gaza strip in recent months on a near regualr bases. The problem being getting it into Gaza.

The difference this time is that Scholz is going to Israel to talk about what is going on in Gaza and is this time a lot more critical. Lets see.

Nope, Russia is firing three times as many shells as Europe produces in 155mm. However that includes North Korean shells and smaller artillery calibers. The EU also produces some 152mm and 120mm. Even more importantly the shells are much more accurate.

We need to destroy Russias ability to threaten the EU and remove Putin and any other similar leader from power in Russia. That should be the goal of the EU and not to go into a full scale war with Russia. Seriously Putin is not winning that war. The Russian civilian economy is shrinking fast, Russias war reserves are depleting, oil income is falling, soldiers are being lost on a massive scale with a demogrophics, which does not allow for that, and Russias weapons reserves from Soviet times are falling. Russia has two or three years of full scale war in it. The only thing we need to do is to keep Ukraine in the fight, while destroying as much of Russia as possible.

The phaseout of fossil fuel cars required a qualified majority. That means that as long as two out of Germany, France, Poland, Spain and Italy are for it, it is going to stay. Also some other votes are needed, but that is basically it.

Also the CDU needs a coalition partner and that means either SPD or Greens, which voted for the phase out, or AFD at which point the problem of smoke from cars is the least problem in Germany.

Just send 1% of GDP to Ukraine and spend 2% for the rest of the time. Sorry, but 3% is more then NATO spending during the Cold War and that was against a much stronger enemy then Russia. 3% only makes sense if we want to fight China.

https://www.reuters.com/world/europe/ukraine-security-chief-says-47-russian-spy-networks-uncovered-last-year-2024-02-25/

It is a consequence of its once divided status.

That was 35 years ago and in the mean time the Soviet Union collapsed and they are in a war with Ukraine. If I were to bet Ukraine has more Russian spies then Germany right now. Just because they are trying a lot harder.

Your “Researcher” just published something very similar on the right wing Daily Mail:

https://www.dailymail.co.uk/debate/article-13155971/EDWARD-LUCAS-want-leak-secret-Kremlin-just-tell-Germans-Berlin-Natos-weakest-link.html

No, there were negotiations for the reunification of Germany and during those a few Western officals offered not to go further east. However that ended up not being part of the final treaties. In fact the 2+4 Treaty, which the Soviets signed does clearly state that ALL of Germany is part of NATO, with NATO troops being allowed to be stationed in former East Germany as well. Obviously that is just Germany, but in no other country, did the Soviets have any sort of legal reason to deny joing NATO what sort ever.

So no this is just Russian propaganda and not to be taken seriously.

It is the launcher, that is the cheapest part of the system. The expensive parts are the command center and the radars.

China is also stronger then Russia and they know they just have to bribe one of the US parties to stop aid to Taiwan.

For anybody wondering. France has a strategy of strategic ambiguity. That means they always leave all options open, so they can change their minds and also have the enemy guessing. That is why their are no red lines. It is fundamentally against French strategy. However it does not mean that France sends soldiers to Ukraine or anything like that.

A great example why it makes a lot of sense is Scholz. He was initially against sending Marder, Leopard, artillery and a lot more weapon systems, but later and not even too much later changed his mind. This did piss of countries like Poland and obviously Ukraine for no reason, create bad press and it means that Scholz saying no is somewhat of a temporary thing, which weakens his position in negotitations. If he had said that he has not decided to send those weapons to Ukraine, the entire time, then he would have had a lot less of an issue.

So please do not read too much into this. For France what matters, is if they say they are going to do something., not maybes.

Russia abadoning Armenia was really a bad call. Georgia wants to be an EU member badly and Armenia also has a somewhat democratic system. The only thing missing is Azerbijan. That would open up Central Asia to the West. With Russia threatening Kazkhastan this could really put Russia in a bad geopolitical position.

You are absolutely right they didn’t manage to break through the line, but I never thought that was the purpose of the campaign against Avdiivka.

No, but it makes perfect sense to try. Ukraine did have a lot of troops and equipment out in the open in unprotected positions and the new positions were likely to be at least partly manned by the soldiers leaving Avdiivka. So good time to try.

Avdiivka was a well protected position and the new defensive line is quite a bit further West from Avdiivka. So Russia had to take some ground to reach it and Ukraine made them pay, but without really having good terrain to really put up a strong fight. It also means Russia has no good positions to hide and logistics are stretched. So they did not manage to break through the line, but just moved it further to the West.

If you want a raise, you got to jump. Foxconn